doc_strange (![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png)
doc_strange) wrote2004-10-19 11:11 am
doc_strange) wrote2004-10-19 11:11 am
Internet technology projections for 2005
Some interesting trends and a couple of lightly reported tech events have convinced me that two really interesting things will happen in the tech service sector over the next year.
1) AOL becomes largest Liberty Alliance (federated identity) broker.
AOL recently announced that it is going to provide its users with RSA tokens for a mere $10 plus $2/month. Users can have the token rather than a reusable password. First, that's dang inexpensive. AOL must have convinced RSA that it's going to sell a hell of a lot of them (or committed to doing so anyhow). Second, it takes the wind out of a TON of phishing and online identity theft games... but only for AOL accounts.
Unless... RSA is one of the 34 corporate founders of the Liberty Alliance. So are American Express and Sun. Negegrity just jumped on board, and so have a lot of companies as service implementers, for their outsourced services. Back in 2001, AOL itself announced it would be a founding member of the Liberty Alliance. Jan 2004, AOL announced a partnership with DLINK to give consumer home electronics Liberty Alliance compatibility.
Now they support RSA tokens.
The purpose of the Alliance is to provide a coherent way for members to trust each other's login credentials. I.e., so employee xsmith of company X can log in to the company Y service site from which company X gets some service rather than doing it itself. Much like Microsoft's Passport service, but with a token-based, NON-reusable password system. I.e., a lot safer to put your eggs in that basket. RSA is a founding member. AOL is now probably RSA's largest or second-largest customer (GE may have more deployed tokens, but wait...).
Soon, I predict, a rapidly growing number of sites will allow you to set up your account such that you can log in with your AOL RSA token, as they do with MS Passport today.
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2) Google's GMail becomes platform for largest outsourced spam filtering service.
This one's easier to describe. Google has a massive staff of excellent programmers. A staff of statistically-minded mathematicians. Significant overlap of the two sets. They have the fastest-growing email service of any provider. They SAVE all the data. They have already had users agree to Google setting up smart searches (for the user) of each user's data. They can already use anonymized statistical information obtained from said data. They already have proven they can update massive databases in near-real-time. They have more bandwidth than just about anyone. They know how to make a great interface.
I.e., they are in the perfect position to take on complex, near-real-time-updated email filtering for not only gmail individual users, but to go 'inline' for corporate email pass-through filtering, too. And then... the Google mail gateway appliance and filter data subscription.
1) AOL becomes largest Liberty Alliance (federated identity) broker.
AOL recently announced that it is going to provide its users with RSA tokens for a mere $10 plus $2/month. Users can have the token rather than a reusable password. First, that's dang inexpensive. AOL must have convinced RSA that it's going to sell a hell of a lot of them (or committed to doing so anyhow). Second, it takes the wind out of a TON of phishing and online identity theft games... but only for AOL accounts.
Unless... RSA is one of the 34 corporate founders of the Liberty Alliance. So are American Express and Sun. Negegrity just jumped on board, and so have a lot of companies as service implementers, for their outsourced services. Back in 2001, AOL itself announced it would be a founding member of the Liberty Alliance. Jan 2004, AOL announced a partnership with DLINK to give consumer home electronics Liberty Alliance compatibility.
Now they support RSA tokens.
The purpose of the Alliance is to provide a coherent way for members to trust each other's login credentials. I.e., so employee xsmith of company X can log in to the company Y service site from which company X gets some service rather than doing it itself. Much like Microsoft's Passport service, but with a token-based, NON-reusable password system. I.e., a lot safer to put your eggs in that basket. RSA is a founding member. AOL is now probably RSA's largest or second-largest customer (GE may have more deployed tokens, but wait...).
Soon, I predict, a rapidly growing number of sites will allow you to set up your account such that you can log in with your AOL RSA token, as they do with MS Passport today.
------------
2) Google's GMail becomes platform for largest outsourced spam filtering service.
This one's easier to describe. Google has a massive staff of excellent programmers. A staff of statistically-minded mathematicians. Significant overlap of the two sets. They have the fastest-growing email service of any provider. They SAVE all the data. They have already had users agree to Google setting up smart searches (for the user) of each user's data. They can already use anonymized statistical information obtained from said data. They already have proven they can update massive databases in near-real-time. They have more bandwidth than just about anyone. They know how to make a great interface.
I.e., they are in the perfect position to take on complex, near-real-time-updated email filtering for not only gmail individual users, but to go 'inline' for corporate email pass-through filtering, too. And then... the Google mail gateway appliance and filter data subscription.
no subject
a, 'SEND MORE MEDICS'
now, warlord.
Interesting thoughts. I'm still not trusting gmail, but I am using it for some mail bits. Just not my REAL mail.
no subject
A lot of people I know are doing precisely that. Sending mailing lists there, etc.